Mathematical modeling for Veterinaria until 2020 of density
Abstract
The goal of this work is focused on the numerical displaying of the Anophelin larval thickness (in Anopheles mosquitoes) month to month in the region of Caibarien in the Territory of Estate Clara, Cuba, just as the connecting with some climatic factors, which permit to make a satisfactory forecast in the administration of this variable. A time of study from 1998 to 2009, the connections withsome climatic factors, for example, the normal temperature, the most extreme and the least, normal relative stickiness, most extreme and least, precipitation and wind speed, climatic information are taken for a similar period at the Caibarien climate station. ARIMA displaying was utilized in relationship with climatic factors, accomplishing a critical model of moving midpoints of request one, which permit to foresee larval thickness month to month anopheline utilizing the base temperature as an indicator. The least temperature in the earlier month was critical it was assessed until 2020, seeing that the anticipated qualities of anophelin larval thickness will be over February's recorded until April while in January and from May to December will be introduced
